Bitcoin wave model by leoum on TradingView.com

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bitcoin 
halving waves

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Bitcoin halving time h

Each 210 000 blocks bitcoin network cuts the miners reward by half. This event is called the halving. The block heights (block numbers - 1) for the halvings are predetermined. Halving block height = h * 210 000, where h - the number of halving event. Thus we can use h to masure the halving progress of bitcoin blockchain even between the halvings. 
Thus let h = block height / 210 000. 
At the event of halving h is equal to the number of the halving and is integer at this time. All other time it is a rational number which represents the progress of the blockchain height from one halving to another.

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Bitcoin halving waves

  • Each halving there is a supply shock in bitcoin. 
  • Regular shocks produce waves with same periods.
  • We observe regular waves in bitcoin price.
  • Waves are related to halving events (h=1,2,3,4,...).
  • The periodicity of the waves is - one halving (h=1).
  • We use the sinus function to model these waves.
  • The amplitude of the waves is degrading over time h.
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